Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 112.783996 124.973421 137.538398 151.430814 166.332742 181.810419 199.073720
2024-10-06 97.256624 115.781260 135.855585 159.105304 185.168504 213.364457 246.051041
2024-10-13 83.321777 106.226671 132.239090 163.662955 200.283758 241.307540 290.421714
2024-10-20 69.581522 94.959139 125.128894 163.058047 208.867958 261.818171 327.029364
2024-10-27 58.816310 85.740169 119.172294 162.781495 217.174813 281.804914 363.369356
2024-11-03 52.660579 81.425934 118.537206 168.497505 232.513888 310.319928 410.468786
2024-11-10 46.868484 76.780301 116.821767 172.354289 245.303738 335.809779 454.382436
2024-11-17 42.225218 73.076746 115.827435 176.753293 258.597205 362.003395 499.584726
2024-11-24 38.582727 70.322783 115.740412 182.092473 273.029529 389.788343 547.247034
2024-12-01 32.249111 62.719471 108.081654 176.365543 272.200009 397.584095 569.335500
2024-12-08 27.719798 57.335093 103.083366 173.852528 275.310128 410.274470 597.685833
2024-12-15 24.671002 53.973371 100.761830 174.893880 283.143620 429.198843 634.360438
2024-12-22 22.372933 51.693643 100.021412 178.336808 294.660880 453.664461 679.366593
2024-12-29 21.017594 50.938134 101.623004 185.341376 311.476860 485.759857 735.292198
2025-01-05 19.236524 49.160064 101.391370 189.455832 324.167715 512.427539 784.414597
2025-01-12 16.730635 45.620465 97.897806 188.205479 328.811950 527.901116 818.519963
2025-01-19 14.631465 42.569128 94.944366 187.559742 334.197779 544.397671 854.202190
2025-01-26 13.739504 41.935839 96.173980 193.699208 349.951603 575.872238 911.084615
2025-02-02 12.660520 40.727536 96.240477 197.850820 362.695955 603.201667 962.553036
2025-02-09 11.767154 39.802153 96.723543 202.646829 376.472962 632.177665 1016.663832
2025-02-16 11.072046 39.243049 97.833546 208.506807 392.009675 663.938542 1075.123645
2025-02-23 9.151542 35.303628 92.073664 202.149719 387.940097 666.742564 1092.372516
2025-03-02 7.824665 32.607136 88.493617 199.355141 389.355778 677.544130 1121.073494